Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.103339 0.121448 0.141688 0.165972 0.194306 0.226313 0.265207
2025-11-30 0.077318 0.100891 0.129992 0.168505 0.218094 0.279755 0.362235
2025-12-07 0.061371 0.086658 0.120299 0.168217 0.234618 0.323295 0.450653
2025-12-14 0.049518 0.074644 0.110200 0.164011 0.243220 0.355362 0.526057
2025-12-21 0.041858 0.066782 0.103994 0.163342 0.255371 0.392377 0.611583
2025-12-28 0.037469 0.062879 0.102668 0.169146 0.277094 0.445090 0.725957
2026-01-04 0.034153 0.060023 0.102330 0.176073 0.300937 0.503232 0.855168
2026-01-11 0.030899 0.056694 0.100616 0.180252 0.320435 0.556161 0.981625
2026-01-18 0.027546 0.052643 0.097040 0.180580 0.333110 0.598725 1.094966
2026-01-25 0.023818 0.047334 0.090485 0.174622 0.333707 0.620141 1.173177
2026-02-01 0.020444 0.042185 0.083503 0.166856 0.329815 0.632719 1.236180
2026-02-08 0.018271 0.039059 0.079897 0.164965 0.336579 0.665245 1.339551
2026-02-15 0.015876 0.035277 0.074790 0.160021 0.337931 0.689880 1.435319
2026-02-22 0.014537 0.033535 0.073598 0.162979 0.355791 0.749304 1.608684
2026-03-01 0.013088 0.031316 0.071084 0.162767 0.366971 0.796549 1.762952
2026-03-08 0.011529 0.028592 0.067079 0.158704 0.369246 0.825425 1.881760
2026-03-15 0.010421 0.026746 0.064756 0.158057 0.378922 0.871085 2.042462
2026-03-22 0.009850 0.026110 0.065121 0.163678 0.403594 0.952478 2.292910
2026-03-29 0.009389 0.025678 0.065902 0.170385 0.431658 1.044721 2.579336
2026-04-05 0.008815 0.024860 0.065623 0.174433 0.453796 1.125764 2.849003
2026-04-12 0.008104 0.023565 0.063963 0.174750 0.466701 1.186351 3.076427
2026-04-19 0.007188 0.021554 0.060168 0.168980 0.463331 1.206930 3.207157
2026-04-26 0.006306 0.019492 0.055945 0.161460 0.454370 1.212468 3.300308